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Since The Ukraine Crisis, $80 Billion In Foreign Reserves Has Been Lost - CurrenciesFactory

 


The foreign exchange reserves have fallen over the past six weeks in a row, reaching their lowest level in almost two years.

Since the crisis in Ukraine, India's foreign exchange assets have declined by more than $80 billion, including more than $2 billion in the past week alone as the Reserve Bank of India sold dollars to assist the rupee in surpassing the 80-to-the-dollar level.

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The most recent weekly statistics provided by the RBI indicate that the country's foreign exchange reserves hit their lowest level in over two years during the week that ended on September 9.

This occurred as a result of a decline of $2.234 billion from the previous week's level of $553.105 billion to the current level of $550.871 billion.


Since the Russian invasion of Ukraine in late February, India's import coverage has decreased for six weeks in a row and 23 out of 29 weeks.

This is a reflection of the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) ongoing withdrawal of reserves to counter a rise in the US dollar brought on by capital outflows to dollar-denominated assets.


Since reaching an all-time high in late October, the country's foreign exchange reserves have decreased by more than $90 billion.

Despite a steady influx of foreign capital into the nation's markets, the widening of the country's current account deficit has not been able to prevent a corresponding narrowing of import coverage.


After the rupee's steep decline this year, which saw it go from over $74 to a weak record high of over 80 in relation to the dollar, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) intervened to manage the currency against significant volatility swings.

This is supported by the most recent monthly bulletin published by the RBI on Friday, which indicated that the central bank sold a net $19.05 billion in the spot currency market in the month of July. The RBI's most recent monthly bulletin was published on Friday.


Activity on the Rupee market suggests that this pattern continued into August and into the current month as well.

The decline in the nation's foreign exchange reserves is likely to be the primary topic of conversation for a while, as the value of the dollar continues to climb to record highs against most major currencies, levels which have not been seen in more than two decades.

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Due to increased bets on the Federal Reserve raising interest rates as well as warnings from the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund about sluggish economic growth and rising inflation, the rupee saw its worst week in five on Friday as the dollar hit a record high.

These factors combined led to the dollar reaching its all-time high.

A currency broker who talked to Reuters stated that market participants were cautious and saw 80 rupees to the dollar as a level to protect. Reuters reported that this information came from the broker.


Indian equities fell into a market slaughter on Friday, wiping out the week's gains and extending their losses for the third session in a row, following a global sell-off that was caused by approaching recession risks of the broadest and most aggressive policy tightening in decades. 

This was caused by a global sell-off that was caused by the broadest and most aggressive policy tightening in decades.


This indicates that the Reserve Bank of India would keep reducing its reserves in order to protect the rupee from excessive price swings.

We believe that the strong dollar and widespread risk aversion will have a negative influence on the trading behavior of the rupee. Both of these factors have been prevalent recently. 


Sharekhan by BNP Paribas research analyst Anuj Choudhary told PTI that global markets dropped after IMF spokesman Gerry Rice expressed concern about a further slowdown in the global economy and predicted that some countries are expected to face recession by 2023.

The nation has managed to fare better than its counterparts in emerging economies, whose import coverage has reached crisis levels, despite the fact that this year saw a significant decrease in the amount of foreign exchange reserves held by the country.


India's foreign exchange assets (FCA), which account for the largest portion of the country's foreign exchange reserves, decreased by $2.519 billion to $489.598 billion in the week ending in September, according to the most recent data from the RBI.

This is a decrease from $6.527 billion to $492.117 billion in the same week during the reporting period. In the previous week, the FCA stood at $492.117 billion.


The value of the gain or depreciation of non-US currencies held in foreign exchange reserves, such as the euro, the pound, and the yen, is included in the foreign currency assets that are denominated in dollars.

These assets are known as foreign currency assets denominated in dollars.


However, in order to reach $38,644,000,000,000 in value, the gold reserves saw a rise of $340,000,000.

During the period covered by this report, SDRs went down by $63 million, bringing the total to $17.719 billion; nevertheless, the country's reserve position with the IMF went up by $8 million, bringing it to $4.91 billion.
 

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